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China Unleashing Crypto Supercycle on Solana Soon?

Wednesday, 7 October 2026 · 3 min read · Listen to the episode ↗

The episode explores whether China could eventually permit tightly managed crypto activity, a possibility speakers say could unleash significant demand given the country’s economic scale and existing stablecoin use. It also examines Solana’s real-world-asset push, including IoT-verified maple syrup and JPMorgan’s input on institutional settlement. Bitcoin’s drop to $83,000 and $642 million in long liquidations add a near-term market counterpoint.

China could eventually reopen crypto activity under tighter management, but the discussion presents that as a possibility, not a decision already made. The host says China is monitoring crypto technology and using Hong Kong to test crypto-related approaches, while Chinese citizens already use stablecoins as a parallel payment network. One speaker argues that permitting crypto trading and business use, including for cross-border trade, could help set off another crypto supercycle; the scale of China’s economy and the size of its financial system make that possibility consequential.

The host contrasts China’s roughly 17% share of the world’s population with the U.S. share of about 4%, and cites 2023 GDP of approximately $19 trillion for China and $26 trillion for the U.S. China’s M2 money supply, the host says, reached a record 356 trillion at the end of August, about $53.1 trillion above the U.S. figure of roughly $23 trillion. The host also argues that China’s 2021 crypto ban may have helped prevent Bitcoin from reaching $100,000 in the last major bull run, linking a possible policy change to the potential for renewed market demand.

Solana is presented as developing into a real-world-asset chain, with tokenized maple syrup and liquor among the examples. In the maple syrup project, the asset is placed on Solana and connected to an IoT device so each bottle can be digitally identified and its origin verified. The host says the Solana Foundation and JPMorgan are working together, with JPMorgan contributing input on institutional settlement practices. These examples suggest a focus on linking tokenized assets to verifiable goods and institutional processes, rather than relying only on speculative activity.

Lily Lu says Southeast Asia’s fragmented countries and currencies create demand for an internet capital market, and claims Solana has been the most-used blockchain on every timeframe over the past couple of years, exceeding the rest of the industry combined. The discussion cites a Southeast Asian market context of 2.9 billion users and says Solana has a 41.4% share of distributed asset value in real-world assets. Speakers also see Solana’s meme activity as unusually strong. Matt Hogan describes combining social and societal clout with an underlying stock position as an important emerging idea, but says it has not reached its final form; another speaker expects tokenized commodities and other real-world assets to draw memes and community participation.

Tom Lee interprets Nasdaq all-time highs and crypto’s rally as signs that rising yields may be transitory. He says 5% yields are manageable for stocks when real growth is strong and inflation is at its peak, and points to average monthly job growth of about 60,000 in 2026, down from a previous pace of 200,000. Lee says the cycle could become the biggest bull market yet and is coming fast. Against that optimism, Bitcoin fell to $83,000, wiping out its recent October gains, and $642 million in long positions were liquidated. The host raises, but does not resolve, whether Bitcoin and Ethereum have reached a local bottom or whether Bitcoin could fall below $80,000.

Lee says an accumulation he expected to take five years took a little over a year, with heavy buying during a bear market around $1,500. He says acquiring another 100,000 ETH would bring the holding to 5%; a separate speaker describes BMNR as close to owning 5% of Ethereum and calls the position an earnings engine. The episode also briefly compares ARK’s portfolio and performance: Kathy Woods says 25–30% is invested in healthcare, which she views as a major AI application area, and argues QQQ is not comparable because it has little financial-services exposure and none to healthcare. The figures cited are a 15% decline for ARK over five years versus a 112% gain for QQQ.

This summary was generated from the episode transcript and can contain mistakes.