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Crypto's Value Capture Problem & Why Robinhood Built Its Own Blockchain

Friday, 10 July 2026 · 4 min read · Listen to the episode ↗

Inversion spent eight months evaluating more than 20 sectors before concluding that the ROI of implementing crypto in traditional businesses is not large enough today, partly because open source networks push value toward consumers rather than companies and any cost-reduction solution can be replicated by competitors. The firm found AI agents far more transformative for traditional businesses than crypto.

Inversion spent eight months evaluating more than 20 sectors and concluded the ROI of implementing crypto in traditional businesses is not large enough today. The firm has broadened its mandate to acquire good businesses where technology is orthogonal to value creation rather than the primary thesis, modeling itself on Berkshire Hathaway and Constellation Software. Mark Leonard started Constellation Software with 25 million Canadian dollars in 1995 and built it into a business worth over 500 billion dollars through fast, data-informed acquisitions typically ranging from two to four million dollars each. The team views the holding company model as superior to the fund model because funds are locked into mandates that may not adapt, noting that crypto fund managers privately admit they want to invest in robotics and AI. Paradigm's AI pivot was described as smart and responsible.

The MVNO strategy bundling telecom and fintech was deprioritized because those businesses have terrible unit economics, high churn, and insufficient cash flow. MVNOs rent rather than own infrastructure, making the bundling thesis hard to underwrite. Stablecoins have genuinely worked where financial infrastructure is insufficient, with Tether cited as evidence, but fixing a remittance company is a stakeholder incentive problem rather than a technology problem. After extensive work on Western Union, Remitly, and Wise, the team came out bearish. The on-chain credit strategy was also dropped after concluding the true on-chain B2B borrowing rate is closer to 8 to 12 percent rather than the 2 to 5 percent visible on protocols like Aave, and that on-chain capital markets work mostly for crypto-backed loans.

An RFP run for a large multinational industrial company found that most crypto FX aggregators quoted approximately 20 to 50 basis points above the mid-market rate even in exotic corridors like Colombia, Egypt, and Israel. The FX problem for crypto providers is a liquidity problem rather than a technology problem. A broader lesson from the evaluation process was that filtering for businesses where crypto could release value led the team toward businesses that were not great to begin with. A business easily transformed by technology is not a good business because the winners of transformation tend to be new entrants, and any crypto cost-reduction solution can be replicated by competitors via open source networks, eliminating competitive advantage. The ROI of implementing AI was described as far greater than the ROI of implementing crypto for traditional businesses, with AI agents now allowing a small team to build an enriched CRM within hours rather than weeks.

The broader value accrual question in crypto remains unresolved. Open source networks tend to push value away from companies and onto consumers, creating consumer surplus rather than business profit. It remains unclear whether Stripe's Tempo will be a profit center or merely support the broader Stripe business, and similarly unclear what Robinhood Chain will do specifically for Robinhood's economics. The team's view is that buying Stripe secondary or Robinhood equity is a better expression of the business-adopts-crypto thesis than targeting smaller businesses, since larger players are better positioned to capture whatever value does accrue. Hyperliquid was cited as a crypto-native business that can genuinely profit through trading and hyperfinancialization, distinguishing it from the traditional business adoption thesis.

Robinhood Chain generated over 500 million dollars in Uniswap volume within roughly a week of launch, surpassing BNB Chain and ranking behind only Ethereum mainnet. Approximately 150,000 new active wallets appeared in a single day, with volume growing 10x day over day at the time of discussion. The strategic rationale is to verticalize the stack, control the user experience, and improve margins by clipping fees on order flow, analogous to becoming Citadel. A counterargument was raised that introducing a blockchain adds surface area for things to go wrong compared to Robinhood's efficient internal database, and that a single-sequencer chain may be functionally equivalent to a database with some Ethereum security rather than a genuinely decentralized network.

Coinbase and Robinhood Chain look structurally similar but will attract different activity because of their different user bases. Coinbase users sitting on large unrealized Bitcoin and ETH gains make it a strong market for borrow-lend protocols like Morpho, while Robinhood's more speculative retail base makes its chain look more like Solana than a corporate Ethereum layer. Moving assets on chain allows a platform to list any asset available on decentralized exchanges without compliance friction, resolving the internal tension between listing teams wanting revenue growth and compliance teams blocking new assets. Speakers predicted Robinhood Chain, Base, and BNB will be among the largest chains within a couple of years.

On dual token and equity structures, speakers identified three camps ranging from full acceptance to insistence on a single instrument. The argument for a single instrument is that tokens like Ethereum, Solana, and Hyperliquid outperform because they offer one clean vehicle for market expression, and that investors struggle to hold more than one narrative simultaneously. The dual structure is a reflection of regulatory uncertainty rather than ideal design, and the market has already responded negatively to tokens that do not look like pure tokens. A caveat was offered that a dual structure could theoretically thrive with strong communication, disclosure, and transparency standards.

This summary was generated from the episode transcript and can contain mistakes.